Odaily星球日报讯 比特币本周连续上涨，eToro 市场分析师 Josh Gilbert 表示过去一周市场明显转向更偏好风险的基调，贸易紧张局势似乎正在缓解，特朗普示意愿意谈判有助于提振风险资产（尤其是比特币）的情绪。BTC Markets 加密货币分析师 Rachael Lucas 则认为，10 万美元等具有心理意义的整数关口通常会促使短期获利了结，交易员锁定利润后可能会迎来一段盘整期。（Bloomberg）

Odaily星球日报讯 比特币本周连续上涨，eToro 市场分析师 Josh Gilbert 表示过去一周市场明显转向更偏好风险的基调，贸易紧张局势似乎正在缓解，特朗普示意愿意谈判有助于提振风险资产（尤其是比特币）的情绪。BTC Markets 加密货币分析师 Rachael Lucas 则认为，10 万美元等具有心理意义的整数关口通常会促使短期获利了结，交易员锁定利润后可能会迎来一段盘整期。（Bloomberg）

分析：10万美元或是近期BTC重要心理关口，交易员锁定利润后或迎盘整期

<Odaily> Planet Daily News: Bitcoin has been rising continuously this week. Josh Gilbert, a market analyst at eToro, said that the market has clearly shifted towards a more risk-tolerant tone in the past week, and trade tensions seem to be easing. Trump's indication of willingness to negotiate has helped boost the sentiment of risk assets, especially Bitcoin. Rachael Lucas, a cryptocurrency analyst at BTC Markets, believes that psychologically significant round numbers like $100,000 typically prompt short-term profit-taking, and traders may face a consolidation period after locking in profits. (Bloomberg)

Analysis: $100,000 may be an important psychological barrier for BTC in the near future. Traders may face a period of consolidation after locking in profits

<Odaily>Odaily Planet News</Odaily> - HTX Research analyst Chloe (@ChloeTalk1) analyzed in the latest HTX DeepThink column that Bitcoin has returned to $100,000, but the market has not shown signs of "euphoric surge". Bitcoin options implied volatility (IV) remains stable at 50% to 55%, far lower than the typical 80% or more seen at historical bull market peaks. CME Bitcoin futures open interest is approximately $14.8 billion, below the $20 billion peak during Trump's election in 2020. If U.S. Treasury yields do not break above 4.8% again and ETF funds continue to flow in, Bitcoin is expected to oscillate between $105,000 and $115,000, waiting for the next breakthrough opportunity. 

Chloe also pointed out that the market should remain vigilant about potential risks of unsatisfactory trade negotiations between China, the U.S., and Europe. Potential escalation of trade friction could negatively impact global market sentiment and put pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin.

Notably, last week's HTX DeepThink column previously predicted a potential liquidity window in early May that could drive funds back into the crypto market.

HTX DeepThink: The crypto market has not yet shown signs of a frenzy, and we need to be wary of the risk of unsuccessful Sino-US trade negotiations

Bitcoin's positive performance in different market environments, strong risk-adjusted returns, and institutional buying pressure may drive it to break through $110,000 in May.

- According to the view of Bitcoin financial services company <Bit> Suisse, Bitcoin's upward momentum stems from its ability to perform excellently in both risk appetite and risk-averse environments.

- Bitcoin's Sharpe ratio is 1.72, second only to gold, highlighting its characteristics as a mature asset and providing excellent risk-adjusted returns.

- Buyer-dominated market signals indicate strong interest from institutions and retail investors, which may lead to supply tightening and...

Countdown to $110,000: Three major engines boost Bitcoin's bull market in May

PANews news on May 10th, Bitcoin returned above $100,000 this week. Wall Street appeared cautious at the end of the trading week, with US stocks and bonds fluctuating as the world's two largest economies prepare to launch trade negotiations, and investors avoided higher-risk bets. Continued market optimism pressured gold prices, with gold falling nearly 4% over Wednesday and Thursday, but rebounding on Friday, rising 2.64% last week. Here are the key points the market will focus on in the new week:

Monday 22:25, Federal Reserve Governor Waller will give a speech;
Tuesday 20:30, US April Unadjusted CPI Year-on-Year Rate/Seasonally Adjusted CPI Month-on-Month Rate/Seasonally Adjusted Core CPI Month-on-Month Rate/Unadjusted Core CPI Year-on-Year Rate;
Thursday 05:40, 2027 FOMC voter and San Francisco Fed President Daly will participate in a fireside chat;
Thursday 20:30, US April Retail Sales Month-on-Month Rate, US April PPI Year-on-Year Rate/Month-on-Month Rate, US May New York Fed/Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index;
Thursday 20:40, Federal Reserve Chair Powell will deliver opening remarks at an event;
Thursday, the Federal Reserve will hold the second Thomas Laubach Research Conference, focusing on monetary policy and economic research, expected to provide an academic perspective for the Fed's commitment to reviewing the monetary policy framework every five years, until the 16th;
Friday 22:00, US May One-Year Inflation Rate Expectation Initial Value, US May University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index Initial Value.

The Federal Reserve's tone this week was not dovish. On Friday, more than half of the policymakers gave public speeches, with none indicating that the Fed is close to cutting rates. Next week's economic data will provide an important perspective. The April US CPI to be released on Tuesday will offer a new interpretation of inflation trends, while the April retail sales data to be released on Thursday will be the latest window into consumer spending. The April US CPI is expected to confirm that price pressures remain too high, with no reason for rate cuts for now. Although the US dollar index has risen in the short term, it still faces selling pressure due to the risk of stagflation from ongoing tariffs. Additionally, the impact of macroeconomic data on Bitcoin prices and whether Bitcoin can consolidate its support around $100,000 are worth watching.