Odaily星球日报讯 美联储威廉姆斯表示，预计 2025 年和 2026 年 GDP 将增长 2%，美国经济处于良好状态。由于政府政策的影响，经济前景高度不确定。美国失业率应维持在 4%至 4.25%之间。美联储在降低通胀方面取得了显著进展；货币政策已做好充分准备，以实现美联储目标；适度具有限制性的政策应能将通胀率降至 2%；预计今年通胀将维持在 2.5%左右，未来几年将达到 2%。

美联储威廉姆斯：预计2025年和2026年GDP将增长2%

Odaily Odaily News: Fed&#39;s Williams said that GDP is expected to grow by 2% in 2025 and 2026, and the US economy is in good shape. The economic outlook is highly uncertain due to the impact of government policies. The US unemployment rate should remain between 4% and 4.25%. The Fed has made significant progress in reducing inflation; monetary policy is well prepared to achieve the Fed&#39;s goals; moderately restrictive policies should be able to reduce inflation to 2%; inflation is expected to remain around 2.5% this year and reach 2% in the next few years.

Fed's Williams: GDP is expected to grow by 2% in 2025 and 2026

Odaily reports that a research report by CITIC Securities indicates that the number of new non-farm jobs in the US in January 2025 was lower than expected, with the healthcare services, retail, and government sectors being the main contributors. The wildfires in Los Angeles and the severe cold weather in other parts of the US did not have a significant impact on the overall job market. The declining unemployment rate, rising wage growth, and the smaller-than-expected downward revision in the annual revision suggest a healthy job market. We expect the impact of the government efficiency department (DOGE) led by Musk to be relatively small on the 2025 non-farm employment growth. The non-farm data has broken the relatively optimistic sentiment in the market after the release of the December CPI, and the expectation of rate cuts has been postponed again. The market's focus will now be on the tariff fog and inflation expectations of Trump, and US stocks are expected to maintain high volatility. If the January CPI or tariff plan exceeds expectations, US bond yields and the US dollar index may rise again. We maintain our view that the Fed will cut rates twice this year, each by 25bps. (Gold Ten)

CITIC Securities: Maintain the judgment that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice this year

Odaily reports that the 1-year inflation expectation of the New York Fed in the US in January is 3%, compared to the previous value of 3.00%. (Jinshi)

The New York Fed's 1-year inflation forecast for the United States in January was 3%, compared with 3.00% in the previous month.

Odaily Odaily News reports that Federal Reserve Chairman Harma stated that maintaining a stable interest rate for some time may be appropriate, and it would be better to take time to assess the impact of tariffs. A patient interest rate policy will give the Federal Reserve time to assess the economic situation. The Federal Reserve is well prepared to respond to changes in the economy. The risk of inflation is currently tilted to the upside, and it is unclear whether inflation will continue to decline to 2%. The economic situation is good, and the job market is stable. (Gold Ten)