美国1月纽约联储1年通胀预期3%，前值3.00%

Odaily reports that the 1-year inflation expectation of the New York Fed in the US in January is 3%, compared to the previous value of 3.00%. (Jinshi)

Odaily Odaily reports that the 1-year inflation expectation of the New York Fed in the US in January is 3%, compared to the previous value of 3.00%. (Gold Ten)

The New York Fed's 1-year inflation forecast for the United States in January was 3%, compared with 3.00% in the previous month.

Odaily Odaily reports that Michael Pound, head of Barclays' global inflation-related research, said that the price of inflation-indexed bonds reflects that the US inflation rate will increase by 0.2 percentage points over the next year, about a quarter of which is due to gasoline. (<金十>)

Barclays: US inflation rate will increase by 0.2 percentage points in the next year

Here is the English translation, with the content within <> tags left untranslated:

The news from Mars Finance shows that over the past week, concerns about the trade war have been lingering in the minds of global investors, and Trump's erratic behavior has exacerbated market volatility. At the same time, the latest non-farm data and the University of Michigan consumer survey have further clouded the prospect of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Trump is unlikely to give the market a chance to blink in the coming week, and further news on his tariff plans will continue to attract close attention. In addition, US inflation data and Fed Chair Powell's testimony on Capitol Hill may be key factors affecting expectations of a US rate cut in the near term. The key points that the market will focus on in the new week are as follows:

Monday 22:00, ECB President Lagarde participates in a plenary debate on the ECB's 2023 Annual Report
Tuesday 0:00, US January New York Fed 1-year inflation expectation
Tuesday 21:50, Cleveland Fed President Mester speaks on the economic outlook
Tuesday 23:00, Fed Chair Powell testifies before the Senate and delivers the semi-annual monetary policy report
Wednesday 4:30, FOMC permanent voter, New York Fed President Williams speaks
Wednesday 21:30, US January CPI, core CPI
Wednesday 23:00, Fed Chair Powell testifies before the House Financial Services Committee on monetary policy
Thursday 1:00, 2027 FOMC voter, Atlanta Fed President Bostic speaks on the economic outlook
Thursday 21:30, US initial jobless claims for the week ending February 8
Thursday 21:30, US January PPI YoY, MoM
Friday 21:30, US January retail sales MoM
Friday 22:15, US January industrial production MoM

Several Wall Street analysts have warned that due to seasonal factors, January is traditionally a more challenging time for CPI forecasting, which increases the potential for market volatility around the data release. According to the Cleveland Fed's Inflation Nowcasting indicator, the overall CPI year-over-year growth rate is expected to be 2.85% in January, and the core CPI year-over-year growth rate to be 3.13%, only slightly slower than the previous month. This should reinforce market expectations that the Fed will keep rates steady at its March meeting.

Macro outlook for next week: Trump barely leaves the market a chance to blink, and the Fed is expected to keep interest rates stable

Odaily reports that after the January interest rate meeting, the Federal Reserve has entered a pause in rate cuts. The non-farm data shows that the US labor market remains resilient. After officially taking office, Trump's tariff policy has been flip-flopping, with limited actual implementation. In addition, the impact of Trump's external tariff policy on inflation also needs to be observed for some time, and the tariff issue will continue to disrupt the market. Since January, the price of gold has continued to rise and hit new highs, with the demand for safe-haven caused by the tariff issue being the dominant factor, and the reaction to the fundamental data has faded. The January non-farm report was generally bearish for gold and did not provide more upward momentum. The Federal Reserve's pause in rate cuts and the stability of the job market provide support for the US dollar index, while US bond yields face upward risks and are expected to stop falling and rebound, and the stock market will continue to fluctuate.