A new oil crisis is about to break out|0622 Cryptocurrency intraday
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Iran didn't kneel, BTC knelt first, and ultimately the crypto punk bore the consumption.
After the Iranian Parliament approved blocking the Hormuz Strait, BTC knelt first. However, the blockade still requires approval from Iran's Supreme Leader, and a fully authorized security agency will execute the resolution at an appropriate time, following the proper procedure.
After the understanding king skillfully applied Sun Tzu's art of war, creating a global diversion, Iran released some image evidence - B2 did not completely destroy the target nuclear facilities, and the destroyed parts are potentially repairable.
From another perspective, the understanding king was initially skeptical about the results, so he hesitated for a while. Now, he doesn't need the actual battle results to be completely destroyed (currently, there are no high-level earthquake or nuclear leakage reports, so the achievement rate of complete destruction is quite low). He only needs to tell people that this stage of the project's KPI is completed, and he wants to push to the next stage.
Until now, institutions, analysts, and global top media have not mentioned (or avoided) two points: the unique political risks of a sovereign country being arbitrarily interfered with beyond UN Charter and UN Security Resolutions, effectively handing global security interests to a few, or even a very few people. This represents a significant regression and potential risk.
On the military front, rumors suggest Iran's big brothers sent many good things, including new navigation systems and satellites. But when and how did 6 B2 aircraft enter? The full operation was unobserved - this is a naked military intimidation and power demonstration. B2, a stealth strategic bomber from decades ago, can still freely enter highly sensitive war zones and major countries. This essentially challenges the existing military and security situation.
With BTC not receiving the urgently needed positive news, such as interest rate cuts, the war's shadow and potential new oil crisis have scared the market - the current malignant inflation prospects (if oil rises from its current position to 120-150 range) are already apparent, with no room for interest rate cuts.
On June 22, before 10 PM in the Eastern 8 Zone, BTC plummeted 4 points to below $100,000. Within 24 hours, the 4000-6000 point downward space mentioned in our strategy has been fully realized, and the lower strategic grid 96xxx may be achieved after other commodities realize negative news in the Asia-Pacific market on Monday.
The escalation of regional conflicts might draw global and regional powers into a potential World War III hot war, objectively being analyzed by analysts.
Fortunately, the world is not entirely evil, and public opinion has not shown a one-sided trend.
The final key pivot will be whether the Hormuz Strait will be blocked at the appropriate time. Currently, the Iranian Parliament has approved it, but it still needs final confirmation from Khamenei.
Once blocked, an oil crisis erupts, which cannot be explained or eliminated by a classic capitalist overcapacity crisis. In the current historical process, only a large-scale hot war can dilute all surplus and imbalances.
Crypto assets have already pre-emptively realized negative news about geopolitical and war risks.
GOLDEN: Strengthen holding. Wait until you feel all geopolitical and war risks have been roughly released.
Military: Strategic transfer injection sector. Increase position.
Fossil Energy: High-risk sector. Opportunities come from the certainty of a new usage crisis.
Wishing crypto and traditional financial traders good harvests.
#BTC
#Wilderness Hunter Investor
#New Dragongate of Crypto World
#Ice and Fire Song of Crypto Investment
#Crypto Bear Market Arbitrage Hedging Strategy
#Post-Lighthouse Era Geopolitical Perception
#Multi-Asset Strategy Based on Anti-Fragility
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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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