Written by: Alertforalpha
Translated by: Plain Blockchain
Bitcoin at $250,000 - sounds crazy, right?
But some steadfast bulls have proposed this number, and they have charts to support it. Here's why this is not just a fantasy.
1. M2 Money Supply Surge - Liquidity Tsunami
Global M2 money supply is surging and won't stop short-term. According to Real Vision analysis, the global liquidity tide will continue until 2026. This means the four-year cycle might be broken. Don't expect a peak in October this year. If funds continue flowing, BTC could reach $250,000 next spring.
2. High-Yield Bonds - No Panic, No Problem
Bitcoin bull Tom Lee points out that the high-yield bond market - a financial crisis indicator - shows no panic. Government bonds have some volatility, but high-yield bonds remain calm. This is not a pre-crash signal. If the bond market isn't worried, you shouldn't be either.
3. V-Shaped Recovery Probability - History Stands with Bulls
Interestingly, out of 18 major downturns since 1950, 17 experienced a V-shaped rapid recovery, with a 94% hit rate. If you think the market will directly crash, you're fighting history.
4. Business Cycle Bottom - We're at the Trough
Markets peak at the top of a business cycle, not the bottom. We're currently in the "harsh, terrible" phase of the cycle. This is good news for bulls. Once the cycle turns, the bull market arrives.
5. Technical Models Point Higher
Technical analysis also supports the rise:
Power Law Chart: Baseline of $150,000 by end of 2025, reaching $250,000 by 2028.
Pi Cycle Top: Currently around $160,000, but can continue rising to $250,000.
Golden Ratio Multiplier: Conservative estimate of $160,000, slightly extended to $250,000.
Fibonacci Extension: If history repeats, target of $215,000 to $250,000.
6. Institutions Still Accumulating
Don't forget the whales. BlackRock, Fidelity, and MicroStrategy are still buying Bitcoin in large quantities. There are even rumors that the US government is considering adding BTC to strategic reserves. You don't want to board the train after it's left.
7. Adjust Mindset - This is a Long Battle
Yes, there will be "violent, nauseating pullbacks". You'll feel everything is over - then prices will surge. Countless newcomers will be liquidated on the way to $250,000. Don't become one of them.
Summary - Stay the Course
Bottom line? Ignore the noise, disregard the bears, stay focused. If you're a long-term player, Bitcoin at $250,000 is not just possible - it's right in front of you.
