There are several key factors worth noting in this market rebound. First, it is the change in Trump's tariff policy. Everyone originally thought that Trump's tariff threat was real, especially before the policy was implemented on March 4, the tensions between the US and Canada intensified. However, last night the Commerce Secretary suddenly stated that if other countries can prove they can prevent the inflow of fentanyl, the US may cancel the tariffs, and the release of this news immediately caused market fluctuations.
People are beginning to realize that every decision Trump makes is imbued with a businessman's mindset - whether it's dealing with the Russia-Ukraine war, strategic reserves, or the Altcoin market. This high-pressure bargaining approach has on the one hand caused violent market sentiment fluctuations, but on the other hand has also given all parties more room for negotiation. Therefore, this strategy may bring more uncertainty in the short term, but ultimately it can promote the conclusion of multilateral agreements and even accelerate the advancement of many issues. For the Altcoin market, Congress may eventually choose to cut the strategic reserves of some Altcoins, while mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum will see positive news.
The second reason for the rebound is the return of rate cut expectations. Trump's tariff policy has exacerbated inflationary expectations and also added pressure to the Fed's decision-making. If the Fed chooses to continue raising interest rates, it may lead to a recession or even a Great Depression; but if it cuts rates, inflation will spiral out of control. Therefore, the market generally expects the Fed to have to comply with Trump's demands and cut interest rates to ease economic pressure. According to CME data, the market has already priced in rate cuts, with a 42.5% probability of a rate cut in May and an 80% probability in June. If the Fed does take rate-cutting measures, the stock market and cryptocurrency market may see a big rally.
In terms of Altcoins, although many Altcoins have fallen to new lows after a series of policy washes by Trump, some quality Altcoins have shown signs of rebound after going through the test. In particular, DeFi leading coins such as $AAVE, $JTO, and $COMP have benefited from the news of the withdrawal of the DeFi broker rules, which is a direct positive for the DeFi market. In addition, projects related to ETFs and US regulation, such as ADA, XRP, and HBAR, have also performed well, with some projects even experiencing strong rebounds. As for some new coins, although some projects like $GPS have not performed well after listing, some emerging projects still have room for upside, such as $PWEASE and $DD, especially meme coins related to Trump, which have also brought a lot of attention to the market.
Overall, the driving factors behind this market rebound are multi-faceted, with both policy adjustments and market expectations of future rate cuts. At the same time, the recovery of the Altcoin market has also brought a new round of vitality to the cryptocurrency market. Although volatility is still relatively high, if you can position yourself at the right time, the future market still has plenty of opportunities.
In the current market environment, short-term trading is indeed very necessary. If you just wait for the spot to rebound, you may feel the torment of time. Dongchen has also been working hard on ultra-short-term and on-chain meme operations recently, and the harvest is not bad.
Dongchen only does things he is confident about, averages 1-2 trades per day, and will decisively take action on targets he is sure about, and will absolutely not take action without full confidence. Today, he has also taken the partners to eat a 6x, and the same old saying: Dongchen never takes action lightly, and when he does, he has it in the bag!
DD
Sean Colvin, the director of the Secret Service, has just appointed a young DJ named Daniel, a Texas boy who is battling cancer and dreaming of becoming a police officer, as a Secret Service agent.
CA: 6erH7v4KuJtEumAj5g2kcTn7d9QEy5hSuiKocKfoS4RL
The EAGLE I pushed yesterday has surged up to 7x, and is now stable around 5x!
The pwease I pushed in the regular group a few days ago has surged up to 60x! It's now stable around 30x!
Yesterday, a brother said he was a bit miserable with losses in the secondary market, and asked me to take him to play in the primary market to earn enough to get into the VIP. As for Dongchen, I can't say much, but when a brother speaks up, I have to take care of him!
To thank everyone for their support along the way, Dongchen will share some quality spot and on-chain projects in the future, hoping to bring returns to everyone, and also hoping that everyone can achieve their goals early!
To learn more about the wealth code, or if you have any doubts, follow the public account: Caijing Dongchen
