Odaily星球日报讯 美联储哈玛克表示，加息不在我的基本预期中，2024 年加息幅度在经济中影响的程度尚不明确，可能接近中性利率，将评估美国总统特朗普的经济和贸易政策，预计在未来几个月内将看到联邦储备系统的压力测试变化。（金十）

Odaily星球日报讯 美联储哈玛克表示，加息不在我的基本预期中，2024 年加息幅度在经济中影响的程度尚不明确，可能接近中性利率，将评估美国总统特朗普的经济和贸易政策，预计在未来几个月内将看到联邦储备系统的压力测试变化。（金十）

美联储哈玛克：加息不在我的基本预期中

Odaily Odaily News reports that Federal Reserve Chairman Hamrick said that rate hikes are not in my basic expectations, the extent of the impact of the 2024 rate hike on the economy is still unclear, it may be close to the neutral interest rate, and will evaluate <US President Trump's> economic and trade policies, and expects to see changes in the Federal Reserve's stress tests in the coming months. (<Jinshi>)

Odaily Odaily News reports that Federal Reserve Chairman Harma stated that rate hikes are not in my basic expectations, the extent of the impact of the 2024 rate hike on the economy is still unclear, it may be close to the neutral interest rate, and will evaluate <US President Trump's economic and trade policies>, and expects to see changes in the Federal Reserve's stress tests in the coming months. (<Jinshi>)

Fed's Hammack: Rate hikes are not in my base case

Odaily Odaily News reports that Federal Reserve Chairman Harma stated that maintaining a stable interest rate for some time may be appropriate, and it would be better to take time to assess the impact of tariffs. A patient interest rate policy will give the Federal Reserve time to assess the economic situation. The Federal Reserve is well prepared to respond to changes in the economy. The risk of inflation is currently tilted to the upside, and it is unclear whether inflation will continue to decline to 2%. The economic situation is good, and the job market is stable. (Gold Ten)

Fed's Hammack: Keeping interest rates stable for a while may be appropriate

Odaily reports that the Federal Reserve has paused rate cuts at its January meeting, and it remains uncertain whether or not it will resume rate cuts, especially as the market waits to see how the tariff and immigration policies of Trump's second term will develop. Flack Global Metals economist and research director Daniel Doderer said: "I think the Federal Reserve is in a very good position to do nothing for now. We are transitioning from a labor market with a balance of supply and demand to a market that may face supply constraints while demand remains unchanged or even higher, which suggests that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut rates. Therefore, our internal expectation is that the Federal Reserve will not cut rates this year. But the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting rates is slightly higher than the possibility of raising rates."

Economists warn Fed may not cut rates at all this year

Odaily reports that a research report by CITIC Securities indicates that the number of new non-farm jobs in the US in January 2025 was lower than expected, with the healthcare services, retail, and government sectors being the main contributors. The wildfires in Los Angeles and the severe cold weather in other parts of the US did not have a significant impact on the overall job market. The declining unemployment rate, rising wage growth, and the smaller-than-expected downward revision in the annual revision suggest a healthy job market. We expect the impact of the government efficiency department (DOGE) led by Musk to be relatively small on the 2025 non-farm employment growth. The non-farm data has broken the relatively optimistic sentiment in the market after the release of the December CPI, and the expectation of rate cuts has been postponed again. The market's focus will now be on the tariff fog and inflation expectations of Trump, and US stocks are expected to maintain high volatility. If the January CPI or tariff plan exceeds expectations, US bond yields and the US dollar index may rise again. We maintain our view that the Fed will cut rates twice this year, each by 25bps. (Gold Ten)