Potential long-term risks of AI agents

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This article is purely inspired by a sudden idea.

In the past few days, there have been some interesting new developments in the field of AI agents:

- AI16Z has developed a physical robot, giving AI agents a real "physical body";

- LUNA has been introduced into the VR metaverse and can now interact "realistically" with players in some VR scenarios.

AI agents are increasingly trying and developing in other areas, step by step expanding their boundaries and widening their scenarios.

Among the current AI agents, the one that is most popular, most grounded, and most able to provide service value is probably AIXBT.

And the key channel for AIXBT to play its core value is Twitter.

Thinking of Twitter, I can't help but recall our experience of having our Twitter account banned twice for no reason. We still don't know why these two bans happened, and our appeals have fallen on deaf ears.

If this has happened to us, could it also happen to AIXBT one day?

If AIXBT is banned, not only would the value it has accumulated be lost, but it would also suffer a major setback. Restoring its service would require human intervention, and during this recovery period, countless competitors could seize the opportunity to take away its signature brand.

These consequences would be disastrous for AIXBT.

In fact, not only AIXBT, but the vast majority of AI agents created by this wave of AI agents in the crypto ecosystem are dependent on centralized platforms. Almost every link in their operation process, as well as the underlying infrastructure they rely on, are centralized platforms.

In this process, as long as any of the centralized platforms controlling the links encounter problems, these AI agents could collapse instantly.

For AI agents to truly become independent individuals and run 24/7 without interruption, the decentralization of the entire AI agent chain is definitely a future trend.

This vision of full-chain decentralization has opened up a vast imagination space, where decentralization is needed from the infrastructure (such as data, computing power, and models) to various applications.

These decentralized applications may appear "clumsy" and "not user-friendly" to us humans, but their "anti-censorship" and "non-interference" characteristics may be more important qualities for AI agents.

Although I mentioned in my previous articles that we have seen some decentralized applications in the past bull market cycles, even though they didn't take off, they may find their value in AI agents.

But now, I feel that I have underestimated the future potential of these decentralized applications.

One reason is that the development of AI agents has just begun, and we haven't yet seen a qualitative leap in their quantity and quality, so in our subconscious, we still think "humans" are the main subjects of the application ecosystem.

In fact, it is very likely that when AI agents cross the tipping point in quantity and quality, we will truly realize that "AI agents" are the main subjects of the application ecosystem.

If, as Elon Musk said, the market for AI agents will be in the trillions of dollars, then AI agents will far surpass humans at that time.

That's when the value of decentralized applications will be truly recognized.

The second reason I underestimated them is that the current AI agents have not yet been "strangled" by centralized platforms. If one day AIXBT's Twitter account is banned for some reason, people will suddenly realize the importance of a decentralized "Twitter".

While we are grateful that Phala's TEE environment allows AI agents to have their own wallets, this only solves a very small problem, and there are still many similar "strangling" links in the hands of centralized platforms. Perhaps there are already suitable solutions for these links, but they have not yet been discovered. But more likely, there are still virgin lands to be explored.

If this round of AI agent development achieves good results, the subsequent development of the crypto ecosystem will likely revolve around various decentralized applications for AI agents. And these decentralized applications will attract not only builders from the Web 3 ecosystem, but also builders from the traditional Web 2 ecosystem.

At that time, the crypto ecosystem may see a large-scale breakout.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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