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<h3>Fireline Report</h3>
<p>Polymarket CMO officially announced the launch of the native POLY token and airdrop, the platform's valuation may reach US$1.5 billion, and trading volume continues to set new highs.</p>
<h3>Trading Guide</h3>
<p>Event-driven, pay attention to airdrop participation qualifications and snapshot time. If the token's market value is higher than expected, it can be cashed out in the short term. The expiration condition is the change or extension of the airdrop rules.</p>
<p style="margin-top: 20px; text-align: left; opacity: 0.4; padding: 0 42px"><small>Updated at 10-25 21:13</small><br><small>AI-generated summary, not investment advice</small></p></div>

<h1>Polymarket POLY Token Airdrop Officially Confirmed: Participation Guide</h1><h2> Key Points</h2><p> <strong>Official Confirmation</strong> : Polymarket Chief Marketing Officer Matthew Modabber has officially confirmed the launch and airdrop of the POLY token on October 23, 2025. <strong>Timeline</strong> : The token issuance will take place after the US market relaunches, expected in 2026. <strong>Participation</strong> : Qualification for the airdrop will primarily be based on trading volume, profitability, and platform activity.</p><h2> Official announcement details</h2><h3> Officially confirmed</h3><p> Matthew Modabber stated explicitly on the Degenz Live podcast on October 23rd: &quot;There will be a token, there will be an airdrop.&quot; The token will be called POLY. The <a href="https://www.coindesk.com/zh/markets/2025/10/24/polymarket-will-launch-token-and-airdrop-after-u-s-relaunch-cmo-says">CoinDesk</a> team emphasized the pursuit of &quot;real utility and durability,&quot; citing Hyperliquid&#39;s token model as inspiration, prioritizing sustainable design over short-term incentives.</p><h3> Release Timeline</h3><ul><li> <strong>Precondition</strong> : Restart of the US market (CFTC approval obtained through the acquisition of QCX Exchange)</li><li> <strong>Estimated time</strong> : 2026 or later, depending on the progress of US business</li><li> <strong>Current status</strong> : The US restart may begin as early as October 2, 2025, and users are invited to participate in the beta test</li></ul><h2> User participation methods</h2><h3> Basic steps to participate</h3><table><thead><tr><th> step</th><th> How to operate</th><th> Recommended Funding</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td> Register an account</td><td> Visit polymarket.com and register via email or wallet.</td><td> -</td></tr><tr><td> Connect wallet</td><td> Support MetaMask, etc., recommend Polygon network</td><td> -</td></tr><tr><td> Fund Recharge</td><td> Deposit USDC (you can deposit fiat currency via Coinbase/MoonPay)</td><td> Starting from $100-500</td></tr><tr><td> Start trading</td><td> Buy/Sell Binary Outcome Shares (0.00-1.00 USDC)</td><td> $10-20 per time</td></tr></tbody></table><h3> Core activity indicators</h3><p> <strong>Trading volume requirements</strong> :</p><ul><li> Target trading volume: $10,000-50,000 (to be among the top 1.74% of users)</li><li> Number of transactions: 50+ transactions (in the top 22.87%)</li><li> Recommended strategy: Focus on low-risk bets with a 90%+ win rate, such as the deterministic outcome of political events.</li></ul><p> <strong>Profitability</strong> :</p><ul><li> Personal PNL (profit and loss) is an important indicator. The top 0.51% of users have a PNL of more than $1,000.</li><li> It is recommended to accumulate winning rate through high-confidence bets (such as &quot;Ukraine ceasefire before 2027?&quot; 79% choose &quot;no&quot;).</li></ul><p> <strong>Platform participation</strong> :</p><ul><li> <strong>Liquidity provision</strong> : Provide liquidity through limit orders and earn 4% annualized returns daily</li><li> <strong>Position Rewards</strong> : Long-term market positions (such as the 2028 election) can earn a 4% annualized return</li><li> <strong>Daily tasks</strong> : Complete small bets and recommended tasks on the rewards page</li></ul><h3> Recommended strategy analysis</h3><table><thead><tr><th> Strategy Type</th><th> Risk Level</th><th> Expected Returns</th><th> Implementation methods</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td> Low-risk volume manipulation</td><td> Low</td><td> 5-10%</td><td> Small bets on 90%+ probability events, repeated investments</td></tr><tr><td> Profit maximization</td><td> medium to high</td><td> 15-25%</td><td> Follow the big players and focus on the 75/25 odds market</td></tr><tr><td> Arbitrage hedging</td><td> middle</td><td> Stablize</td><td> Polymarket long+ perpetual contract short hedging</td></tr><tr><td> Comprehensive participation</td><td> middle</td><td> balance</td><td> Diversified trading categories, long-term holdings + liquidity</td></tr></tbody></table><h2> Community sentiment and expectations</h2><h3> User expectations</h3><p> The community generally believes this will be a &quot;level one&quot; airdrop distribution, similar to past high-profile project launches. Users anticipate generous rewards for genuine platform participation, anticipating that even moderate participation could yield meaningful returns, given Polymarket&#39;s recent institutional backing and $9 billion valuation.</p><h3> Airdrop strategy evolution</h3><p> Strategies shared by the community that emphasize diversifying trades to build volume without triggering anti-sybil filters include:</p><ul><li> <strong>Correlated market arbitrage</strong> : arbitrage between related events</li><li> <strong>Real-time sniping</strong> : Instant betting based on mentions or events</li><li> <strong>AI-assisted tools</strong> : Finding advantages with edge detection tools</li></ul><p> <strong>Warning</strong> : Avoid wash trading or repetitive robot behavior, which may result in account exclusion</p><h2> Platform growth data and competitive position</h2><h3> Key indicators (data as of October 2025)</h3><table><thead><tr><th> index</th><th> Numerical</th><th> Growth</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td> Total Value Locked (TVL)</td><td> $233 million</td><td> A 37% increase compared to September</td></tr><tr><td> Daily active users</td><td> 58,000</td><td> 300% annual growth</td></tr><tr><td> Monthly Active Users</td><td> 300,000</td><td> 200% increase compared to Q1</td></tr><tr><td> Monthly trading volume</td><td> $2.4 billion</td><td> 5-fold year-on-year growth</td></tr><tr><td> Cumulative trading volume</td><td> $20.43 billion</td><td> -</td></tr></tbody></table><h3> Competitive Advantage</h3><ul><li> <strong>Market share</strong> : 95% of the crypto prediction market</li><li> <strong>Prediction accuracy</strong> : 95% accuracy 4 hours before incident resolution, 91% accuracy one month before resolution</li><li> <strong>Regulatory Progress</strong> : Achieving CFTC Compliance through QCX Acquisition</li><li> <strong>Institutional support</strong> : Intercontinental Exchange invests $2 billion, with a valuation of $9 billion</li></ul><h2> Important reminders and suggestions</h2><h3> Suggestions for participation</h3><ol><li> <strong>Capital allocation</strong> : Recommended starting capital $200-500 USDC</li><li> <strong>Trading frequency</strong> : 10-20 low-risk trades per week</li><li> <strong>Goal setting</strong> : reach $10,000 trading volume/$500 PNL within 3 months</li><li> <strong>Category dispersion</strong> : Politics 40%, Crypto 30%, Sports 20%, Other 10%</li></ol><h3> Risk Warning</h3><ul><li> <strong>Regulatory restrictions</strong> : US users are temporarily unable to directly access</li><li> <strong>Timing uncertainty</strong> : The specific airdrop time depends on the progress of the US restart</li><li> <strong>Anti-witch measures</strong> : The platform will monitor and eliminate fake traffic</li><li> <strong>Market risk</strong> : There is inherent uncertainty in the prediction market</li></ul><h3> Focus on channels</h3><ul><li> Official Twitter: @Polymarket (698,000 followers)</li><li> Official website: polymarket.com</li><li> Discord Community: discord.gg/Polymarket</li></ul><p> <strong>Final advice</strong> : Focus on organic platform usage rather than pure airdrop farming, and follow @Polymarket for official updates on the US restart and snapshots. With the US restart approaching, it is recommended to start reasonable participation activities as soon as possible.</p>
