The power game behind stablecoins

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Is Crypto Regulation a Retreat from Decentralization Ideals or an Inevitable Evolution of Financial System Standardization?

Author: Buttercup Network, Thejaswini M A

Translated by: Saorise, Foresight News

Translator's Note: The cryptocurrency revolution, once viewed as a disruption to traditional finance, ultimately did not take a path of violent confrontation, but instead became deeply intertwined with regulatory systems and political consensus, becoming a "tamed revolution". From challenging tradition to seeking permission, from decentralization ideals to centralized regulatory reality, the absurdity and contradiction of this "revolution" is the core of this article. When rebels bow to the system, is it a game of interests or an inevitable trend of the times?

In 2025, the rebels (cryptocurrency) did not attack banks, but instead applied for a license from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC).

I have been trying to understand the phenomenon of the GENIUS Act. The more I ponder it, the more I find the whole thing intriguingly absurd. So, please allow me to sort out how we transformed from "move fast and break things" to "move fast and comply with regulations".

The bill has been signed into law, and now all rules have settled. Stablecoins are now regulated, no longer mysterious, and we know exactly who can issue them, who regulates them, and how they operate. But this raises an obvious question: What is the meaning of all this?

If you ask people in the cryptocurrency field, they will excitedly declare that this is the moment cryptocurrency goes mainstream, a regulatory revolution that changes everything. They will enthusiastically discuss "regulatory clarity", "institutional adoption", and the "future of money", clutching that 47-page document as if it were the Constitution.

If you ask a U.S. Treasury official, they will eloquently explain how this can unprecedented strengthen the dollar's dominance, ensure safety, and attract investment back to the United States, using all the typical government official rhetoric.

On the surface, both sides have won, but truthfully, the regulators gained the greater benefit. Cryptocurrency and Bitcoin once tried to undermine banks and end dollar hegemony, and now they hope banks will issue cryptocurrencies backed by dollars.

There is an interesting contradiction at the core of this: banks are actually deeply afraid of stablecoins, which is entirely understandable. They watch trillions of dollars potentially flowing out of traditional deposits and into digital tokens with no yield but full reserve. Congress's approach is to make paying interest on stablecoins illegal, essentially protecting banks and helping them avoid fear of competition.

The law stipulates:

"Any permitted stablecoin issuer or foreign payment stablecoin issuer shall not pay any form of interest or return (whether in cash, tokens, or other consideration) to holders solely for holding, using, or retaining the payment stablecoin."

Cryptocurrency originally aimed to create a trustless, decentralized alternative to traditional finance. Now, while you can send stablecoins on-chain, you must do so through embedded plugins, on venture capital-backed apps, settling with licensed issuers, whose partner banks are still JPMorgan Chase. The future has arrived, but it looks just like the past, only with better user experience and more regulatory documents.

The GENIUS Act creates a system as complex as a Rube Goldberg machine, where you can use revolutionary blockchain technology, but only if:

  • Approved by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency
  • Hold U.S. Treasury bonds at a 1:1 ratio as reserves
  • Submit monthly certification signed by CEO and CFO
  • Allow authorities to order token freezing
  • Promise never to pay interest
  • Limit business activities to "issuing and redeeming stablecoins"

The last point is particularly thought-provoking: You can innovate finance, but absolutely cannot do anything else with the innovated finance.

We are witnessing a movement that was supposed to be anti-establishment becoming institutionalized. Existing stablecoin issuers like Circle are jubilant because they are already largely compliant, and can now watch less regulated competitors being kicked out of the field.

Meanwhile, Tether faces a life-or-death choice: either become transparent and responsible, or be banned from U.S. exchanges by 2028. For a company that built its business on opacity and offshore banking, this is like asking a vampire to work the day shift.

Of course, given Tether's scale, they might not need to care much about this. With a market value of $162 billion, larger than Goldman Sachs and exceeding most countries' GDP, it's even more substantial than the entire regulatory system trying to constrain it. At this scale, "comply or leave" sounds less like a threat and more like a suggestion.

The "Libra Clause", which essentially prevents tech giants from arbitrarily issuing stablecoins, is named after Facebook's failed attempt to launch a global digital currency. Remember how everyone panicked that Facebook might weaken sovereign currencies? Now, if Facebook wants to issue a stablecoin, it needs unanimous approval from the Federal Committee, the token cannot pay interest, and must be fully backed by U.S. government debt.

Let's also discuss the economic logic behind everyone's sudden interest. Currently, U.S. merchants pay 2%-3% transaction fees to Visa and Mastercard, often their second-largest expense after wages. Stablecoin payment costs are just cents, with large transactions even below 0.1%, because blockchain infrastructure doesn't require massive banks and card organizations to take a cut. The $187 billion in annual card fees could remain in merchants' pockets. Thus, Amazon and Walmart's interest in stablecoin solutions becomes understandable: why pay the card organization duopoly when you can directly send digital dollars?

@Visa
There's another terrible feedback loop that no one wants to discuss: **If stablecoins truly become widespread, with issuance reaching trillions of dollars, a significant portion of U.S. Treasury demand will come from stablecoin reserves.** This sounds good, but the problem is that **the demand for stablecoins is inherently less stable than traditional institutional buyers**. Once people lose confidence in stablecoins and start massive redemptions, all Treasury bonds will flood the market instantly. At that point, the U.S. government's borrowing costs will depend on the mood of crypto Twitter users that day, like tying mortgage payments to short-term traders' emotional fluctuations. The U.S. Treasury market has weathered many storms, but "panic stablecoin users triggering algorithmic selling pressure" is a first. Most intriguingly, **this maps the evolution of cryptocurrency from "anarchist currency" to "institutional asset class"**. Bitcoin was supposed to be a peer-to-peer electronic cash that doesn't require trusting third parties, but now there's a federal law specifying that digital dollars can only be issued by highly trustworthy, strictly regulated third parties who are accountable to higher-level regulators. The law requires stablecoin issuers to be able to freeze tokens on blockchain networks when authorities demand. This means every "decentralized" stablecoin must have a centralized "emergency stop switch". This is not a bug, but a feature. **We've successfully created a "censorship-resistant currency" that simultaneously has mandatory censorship capabilities.** Don't misunderstand, I fully support regulatory clarity and dollar-backed stablecoins. This is indeed great: crypto innovation now has rules to follow, and the mainstreaming of digital dollars is a true revolution. I wholeheartedly support this. But don't pretend this is some regulatory open-mindedness. Regulators didn't suddenly fall in love with crypto innovation; someone walked into the Treasury and said: "Let's have more of the world use dollars, just in digital form, and make them buy more U.S. Treasuries to back it." Thus, stablecoins transformed from "dangerous crypto thing" to "brilliant tool of dollar hegemony". **Every USDC issued means one more Treasury bond sold**. 242 billion dollars in stablecoins means hundreds of billions directly flowing into Washington, boosting global demand for U.S. Treasuries. Every cross-border payment avoiding euros or yen, every forex market listing a regulated U.S. stablecoin, is another "franchise" of the American monetary empire. **The 'GENIUS Act' is the most sophisticated foreign policy maneuver disguised as domestic financial regulation.** This raises some interesting questions: **What happens when the entire crypto ecosystem becomes an appendage of U.S. monetary policy? Are we building a more decentralized financial system or creating the world's most complex U.S. dollar distribution network? If 99% of stablecoins are pegged to the dollar, and any meaningful innovation requires approval from the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, have we accidentally turned a revolutionary technology into the ultimate export business for legal tender? If crypto's rebellious energy is channeled into improving the efficiency of the existing monetary system rather than replacing it, and everyone can make money as long as payment settlements are faster, would anyone really care?** These may not be problems, just far from what people initially wanted to solve in this movement. I've been joking about this, but the truth is, this might actually work. Just like the free banking system of the 1830s evolved into the Federal Reserve System, **cryptocurrency may be moving from its chaotic adolescence toward maturity**, becoming a systemically important part of financial infrastructure. Honestly, for 99.9% of people, they just want fast, low-cost transfers and don't care about monetary theory or decentralization principles. Banks are already positioning themselves to become the primary issuers of these new regulated stablecoins. JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Citigroup are reportedly preparing to offer stablecoin services to clients. **The institutions that were supposed to be disrupted by cryptocurrency have now become the biggest beneficiaries of crypto regulation's legitimization.** **This is not the revolution anyone expected, but perhaps the revolution we ultimately get. Strangely, it's also quite "genius".** **Disclaimer:** As a blockchain information platform, the articles published on this site represent only the personal views of the authors and guests, and are unrelated to Web3Caff's stance. The information in the articles is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice or offer. Please comply with the relevant laws and regulations of your country or region.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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