Bitcoin Investors Hold $1.2 Trillion in Unrealized Profits… What Are the Probabilities of Realizing Profits?

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Bitcoin investors currently hold approximately $1.2 trillion in unrealized profits, according to the crypto on-chain data analysis platform glassnode.

This significant figure highlights the profits accumulated by long-term holders as Bitcoin continues to trade near its all-time high.

Bitcoin Investors Moving from Traders to Long-Term Institutional Investors

According to glassnode data, the average unrealized profit per investor is around 125%, lower than the 180% when BTC price reached $73,000 in March 2024.

Bitcoin Unrealized Profits.
Bitcoin Unrealized Profits. Source: glassnode

However, despite these substantial unrealized profits, investor behavior suggests no urgent movement to sell major cryptocurrencies. BeInCrypto previously reported that daily realized profits are only around $872 million.

This is in contrast to previous price surges, where realized profits spiked between $2.8 billion and $3.2 billion at BTC price points of $73,000 and $107,000, respectively.

Current market sentiment suggests investors are waiting for more decisive price movements. There is a firm belief among long-term holders, with accumulation continuing to outweigh selling pressure.

"This emphasizes that HODLing remains the dominant market behavior among investors, with accumulation and maturation flows significantly outpacing distribution pressure." – glassnode

Meanwhile, Bitcoin analyst Rezo mentioned that the current trend reflects a fundamental change in the profile of Bitcoin holders. According to him, the typical BTC holder has evolved from short-term speculative traders to long-term institutional investors and allocators.

Rezo pointed to the increasing influence of institutional players like ETFs and public companies such as Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy).

"The holder base has changed – from traders looking for an exit to allocators looking for exposure. MicroStrategy holds billions in unrealized profits and continues to add. ETFs = persistent bidding, not swing traders." – Rezo

Notably, public companies like Strategy increased their Bitcoin holdings by 18% in the second quarter, while ETF Bitcoin exposure increased by 8% during the same period.

Bitcoin Flows from ETFs and Public Companies.
Bitcoin Flows from ETFs and Public Companies. Source: CNBC

Considering this, Rezo concluded that most short-term sellers have likely already been flushed out between $70,000 and $100,000. He added that investors treating Bitcoin as a strategic long-term allocation rather than a speculative trade remain.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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