Odaily星球日报讯 QCP 发布今日分析称，“尽管以色列在临时停火数小时后恢复了有限的空袭，但金融市场几乎未受波动。市场非但没有呈现“避险模式”，反而全面转向“风险偏好”——纳斯达克 100 指数创下历史新高，标普 500 指数也距离 2020 年 2 月的历史收盘高点不足 1%。与此同时，油价已完全回撤至冲突爆发前的水平，进一步助推了市场情绪的转变。 在标普 500 成分股中，Coinbase（COIN）周二飙升 12%，收于 344.94 美元，创下六个多月以来的最高水平。另一方面，机构对比特币的兴趣持续升温。Anthony Pompliano 管理的 ProCap 基金引发市场关注，其近期购入了价值 3.86 亿美元的比特币。这是其将比特币作为“公司财政储备资产”的明确策略。自 6 月初以来，将比特币纳入资产负债表的公司数量几乎翻倍，目前已有超过 240 家企业合计持有 345 万枚 BTC。若这一趋势持续，比特币不仅有望作为宏观对冲工具与黄金媲美，甚至可能在总市值上展开竞争。在这种宏观、军事与货币三重力量交汇的环境下，传统风险溢价正从“对冲工具”转变为“市场基准假设”。市场对地缘政治波动的承受能力，正在经历前所未有的考验。”

Odaily星球日报讯 QCP 发布今日分析称，“尽管以色列在临时停火数小时后恢复了有限的空袭，但金融市场几乎未受波动。市场非但没有呈现“避险模式”，反而全面转向“风险偏好”——纳斯达克 100 指数创下历史新高，标普 500 指数也距离 2020 年 2 月的历史收盘高点不足 1%。与此同时，油价已完全回撤至冲突爆发前的水平，进一步助推了市场情绪的转变。在标普 500 成分股中，Coinbase（COIN）周二飙升 12%，收于 344.94 美元，创下六个多月以来的最高水平。另一方面，机构对比特币的兴趣持续升温。Anthony Pompliano 管理的 ProCap 基金引发市场关注，其近期购入了价值 3.86 亿美元的比特币。这是其将比特币作为“公司财政储备资产”的明确策略。自 6 月初以来，将比特币纳入资产负债表的公司数量几乎翻倍，目前已有超过 240 家企业合计持有 345 万枚 BTC。若这一趋势持续，比特币不仅有望作为宏观对冲工具与黄金媲美，甚至可能在总市值上展开竞争。在这种宏观、军事与货币三重力量交汇的环境下，传统风险溢价正从“对冲工具”转变为“市场基准假设”。市场对地缘政治波动的承受能力，正在经历前所未有的考验。”

QCP：战争风险降温，市场转向风险偏好模式

<Odaily> Planet Daily News: QCP released today's analysis, stating, "Despite Israel resuming limited airstrikes after a temporary ceasefire, financial markets have barely been affected. Instead of entering 'risk-averse mode', the market has comprehensively shifted to 'risk appetite' - the Nasdaq 100 index reached a historic high, and the S&P 500 index is less than 1% away from its historical closing high in February 2020. Meanwhile, oil prices have completely retraced to levels before the conflict, further boosting market sentiment.

Among S&P 500 components, Coinbase (COIN) surged 12% on Tuesday, closing at $344.94, reaching its highest level in over six months. On the other hand, institutional interest in Bitcoin continues to heat up. ProCap fund managed by Anthony Pompliano has attracted market attention by recently purchasing Bitcoin worth $386 million. This is a clear strategy of using Bitcoin as a 'corporate financial reserve asset'. Since early June, the number of companies incorporating Bitcoin into their balance sheets has nearly doubled, with over 240 companies now collectively holding 3.45 million BTC. If this trend continues, Bitcoin is not only expected to compete with gold as a macro hedging tool but may even compete in total market capitalization. In this environment where macro, military, and monetary forces converge, traditional risk premiums are transforming from 'hedging tools' to 'market benchmark assumptions'. The market's tolerance for geopolitical volatility is undergoing an unprecedented test."

<Odaily> Planet News: QCP released today's analysis, stating, "Although Israel resumed limited airstrikes after a temporary ceasefire, financial markets were barely affected. Instead of entering 'risk-averse mode', markets comprehensively shifted to 'risk appetite' - the Nasdaq 100 index reached a historic high, and the S&P 500 index is less than 1% away from its February 2020 historical closing peak. Meanwhile, oil prices have fully retraced to levels before the conflict, further boosting market sentiment. Among S&P 500 components, Coinbase (COIN) surged 12% on Tuesday, closing at $344.94, reaching its highest level in over six months. On the other hand, institutional interest in Bitcoin continues to heat up. ProCap fund managed by Anthony Pompliano has attracted market attention by recently purchasing Bitcoin worth $386 million. This reflects their clear strategy of using Bitcoin as a 'corporate financial reserve asset'. Since early June, the number of companies incorporating Bitcoin into their balance sheets has nearly doubled, with over 240 companies now collectively holding 3.45 million BTC. If this trend continues, Bitcoin is expected to compete with gold as a macro hedging tool and potentially even compete in total market value. In this convergence of macro, military, and monetary forces, traditional risk premiums are transforming from 'hedging tools' to 'market baseline assumptions'. The market's tolerance for geopolitical volatility is undergoing an unprecedented test."

QCP: War risks cool down, and the market turns to risk appetite mode

Bitcoin fell to around $105,100 yesterday and then quickly rebounded to break through $109,000, setting a new high since June 12. Ethereum performed even better, rising above $2,600. Market sentiment has suddenly heated up, but is this a major move to sell at a higher price or the beginning of a new round of price increases?
The current market is divided. Some people take advantage of the situation to take profits, while others increase their positions to buy at the buy the dips. Let's take a look at the views of several analysts on the Followin shill square:
🔹 @DaanCrypto
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