I. Event Replay: The Rumor Chain of the "Presidential Dinner" or "Binance Investment"
Origin: Recently, an image circulated in the crypto community claiming "Trump invites $TRUMP token holders to attend Mar-a-Lago dinner", stating that token holders have the opportunity to obtain VIP qualification;
Spread Path: The image was reposted and then deleted by some Twitter influencers, triggering fluctuations in the $TRUMP token;
Debunking: No event announcement on the Mar-a-Lago official website, this is most likely a narrative speculation based on【on May 13, 2024, Trump invited some Trump Digital Trading Card series Non-Fungible Token holders to participate in the dinner】;
Previous Event: Trump family crypto project WLFI clarified through its official X account that the news reported by media such as The Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg about WLFI discussing investment with Binance was unconfirmed and seemed to have political motives, aimed at damaging the crypto industry;
II. Deep Logic: Market Manipulation Model under Unowned Narrative
Data Support: In Q1 2025, crypto industry financing dropped by 72% year-on-year, with a sharp decrease in new projects, lack of real positive news, and investors turning to "rumor arbitrage";
Psychological Spread: CoinMarketCap survey shows that 68% of retail investors judge message credibility based solely on headlines, and are extremely sensitive to celebrity-related narratives (such as a 400% increase in search volume for Musk and Trump-related tokens);
Maturity of Fake News Industry Chain
Fake Materials: AI-generated images/videos (such as Sora producing Trump speech), forged media screenshots (WSJ, Coindesk, etc.);
Spread Matrix: Paid KOLs (500-2000 dollars per tweet), bot retweets (cost 0.01 dollars/post);
On-chain Coordination: Whales pre-position, selling in batches after rumor release (such as an address profiting 2.3 million dollars in the $TRUMP event);
Cost-Benefit Ratio: Single fake news creation cost around 50,000 dollars, potential revenue exceeding millions, with near-zero legal risk;
On-chain Anonymity: 95% of meme coin issuers use mixer to transfer funds, with extremely high tracking difficulty;
III. Survival Guide
Source Verification: Use Google reverse image search, verify original media report links (such as searching on WSJ official website);
On-chain Monitoring: Track token position changes through Arkham and Nansen, be cautious of potential pump if whales pre-position without project progress;
Position Isolation: Set meme coin investment limit to 5% of total funds, and only use spot trading on exchanges (avoid contract liquidation);
Profit and Loss Control: Set 10% stop-loss line, exit in batches after 30% profit, reject FOMO emotions;
