Odaily星球日报讯 今天晚些时候美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将就美国货币政策情绪发表讲话。鲍威尔在芝加哥经济俱乐部的讲话以及预计于 4 月 16 日发布的美国 3 月份零售销售报告，或许能让投资者对美联储的前景有所了解。 CoinPanel 高级自动化交易专家 Kirill Kretov 预计，加密市场的波动性将持续到宏观经济形势缓和为止，但这位分析师认为市场价格波动并不重要，目前正处于经济脆弱以及整体避险情绪高涨的时期，这些突然的波动（上涨或下跌）通常只是噪音，是更广泛的旨在摆脱弱势群体的举措的一部分。现在，问题不在于基本面或图表，而在于情绪和叙事控制。 Coin Bureau 创始人 Puckrin 则表示，比特币价格略微回落实际上从长远看可能利好。短期回调至 81,000 美元的支撑位将是一个健康的信号，只要 BTC 价格保持在这一水平之上，就意味着价格将持续回升，现在只能祈祷特朗普不会再发布任何惊天动地的声明了。（The Block）

Odaily星球日报讯 今天晚些时候美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将就美国货币政策情绪发表讲话。鲍威尔在芝加哥经济俱乐部的讲话以及预计于 4 月 16 日发布的美国 3 月份零售销售报告，或许能让投资者对美联储的前景有所了解。CoinPanel 高级自动化交易专家 Kirill Kretov 预计，加密市场的波动性将持续到宏观经济形势缓和为止，但这位分析师认为市场价格波动并不重要，目前正处于经济脆弱以及整体避险情绪高涨的时期，这些突然的波动（上涨或下跌）通常只是噪音，是更广泛的旨在摆脱弱势群体的举措的一部分。现在，问题不在于基本面或图表，而在于情绪和叙事控制。Coin Bureau 创始人 Puckrin 则表示，比特币价格略微回落实际上从长远看可能利好。短期回调至 81,000 美元的支撑位将是一个健康的信号，只要 BTC 价格保持在这一水平之上，就意味着价格将持续回升，现在只能祈祷特朗普不会再发布任何惊天动地的声明了。（The Block）

分析师：加密市场波动将持续到宏观经济形势缓和为止，长远看BTC短时回落为利好

<headline>Odaily Planet News</headline>

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will deliver a speech on U.S. monetary policy sentiment later today. Powell's address at the Chicago Economic Club and the expected U.S. March retail sales report on April 16 may provide investors with insights into the Federal Reserve's prospects. CoinPanel senior automated trading expert Kirill Kretov anticipates that cryptocurrency market volatility will continue until the macroeconomic situation stabilizes. However, this analyst believes that market price fluctuations are not significant, as the current period is characterized by economic fragility and high overall risk aversion. These sudden fluctuations (whether rising or falling) are typically just noise, part of broader efforts to escape vulnerable conditions. At present, the focus is not on fundamentals or charts, but on sentiment and narrative control. Coin Bureau founder Puckrin suggests that the slight pullback in Bitcoin price may actually be beneficial in the long term. A short-term correction to the $81,000 support level could be a healthy signal, and as long as BTC price remains above this level, it implies continued price recovery - with the hope that Trump will not make any earth-shattering statements. (The Block)

<Odaily>Odaily Planet News: Later today, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will deliver a speech on U.S. monetary policy sentiment. Powell's speech at the Chicago Economic Club and the expected U.S. March retail sales report on April 16 may provide investors with insights into the Federal Reserve's prospects. CoinPanel senior automated trading expert Kirill Kretov predicts that cryptocurrency market volatility will continue until the macroeconomic situation stabilizes. However, this analyst believes that market price fluctuations are not significant, as the current period is characterized by economic fragility and high overall risk aversion. These sudden fluctuations (up or down) are typically just noise, part of broader efforts to escape vulnerable groups. Currently, the issue is not about fundamentals or charts, but about sentiment and narrative control. Coin Bureau founder Puckrin suggests that the slight pullback in Bitcoin price may actually be beneficial in the long term. A short-term correction to the $81,000 support level would be a healthy signal, and as long as BTC price remains above this level, it implies continued price recovery - now we can only hope that Trump does not issue any earth-shattering statements. (The Block)

Analyst: Crypto market volatility will continue until the macroeconomic situation eases, and BTC's short-term decline is a positive in the long run

<Odaily> Planet Daily News: CoinDesk analyst and market technical expert Omkar Godbole wrote that Bitcoin's recovery momentum seems to have stalled, with $86,000 becoming a key resistance level. Key momentum indicators suggest a potential bearish shift, and breaking below $83,000 could trigger selling pressure. To continue its recovery, the closing price needs to be above $86,000. If BTC breaks below the $83,000 support level, it may risk falling to $75,000. (CoinDesk)

Analysis: If BTC falls below the $83,000 support level, it may face the risk of falling to $75,000

<Odaily> Planet Daily News: Coinbase noted in its monthly market assessment report that Bitcoin's resilience against macroeconomic headwinds is increasing compared to traditional financial markets, with relatively smaller declines. Although the cryptocurrency market is currently in a bear market, it may experience a rebound in the third quarter. However, Coinbase researchers suggest that the cyclical prospects in the digital asset field remain challenging and recommend maintaining caution in the next four to six weeks. As Bitcoin's role as a store of value continues to strengthen, a comprehensive assessment of the overall market activity of cryptocurrencies is needed to better define the bull and bear markets for this asset class. (Cointelegraph)

Coinbase: Bitcoin may rebound in Q3, and its ability to resist macro market headwinds is increasing

Over the past two weeks, despite the chaos in other markets, Bitcoin's price has remained quite resilient. Last week, the cryptocurrency price twice touched the initial resistance level of $74,000, which formed after the U.S. election ended last year, and subsequently broke through the medium-term downward range since January. It is now trapped in a strong support zone between $81.8-82.3 thousand, with a powerful resistance level overhead between $88-90 thousand.