交易员认为美联储在5月份大幅降息的可能性微乎其微

Odaily Planet News: Traders believe that the possibility of the Federal Reserve significantly cutting interest rates in May is extremely low. (Jinshi)

Traders see little chance of a big Fed rate cut in May

<Odaily> Planet Daily News: The latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes will be released at 2 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday, detailing the discussions from the policy meeting on March 19-20, when the Fed maintained its benchmark interest rate in the range of 4.25%-4.50% and signaled potential rate cuts of three times this year, each by 25 basis points. After Trump announced a global tariff plan on April 2, U.S. stocks plummeted, with many economists warning of a potential economic recession this year. Powell's speech on April 4 clearly turned hawkish, warning that "we are facing a highly uncertain outlook while experiencing the risk of rising unemployment and inflation." The latest futures market data shows that traders have adjusted their expectations for rate cuts this year to four times. (Jin Shi)

The latest Fed meeting minutes will be released at 2 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday

In April 2025, the tariff hammer of the Trump administration once again shook global markets. U.S. stocks plummeted, and crypto assets were awash in red, with Bitcoin dropping over 10% in two days and Ethereum plunging by 20% at one point, resulting in liquidations totaling $1.6 billion within 24 hours. Investors were panic-stricken, turning their eyes to the Federal Reserve and hoping for an interest rate cut to rescue the market. However, the Fed's silence was unsettling: Where exactly is the threshold for rate cuts? Under the dual pressure of inflation concerns and economic strain, when will the Federal Reserve ease its policy? This is not just a data game, but a contest of market confidence and macroeconomic strategy.
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The market is eagerly waiting, when will the Federal Reserve start "printing money"?

<Odaily>Odaily Planet Daily News</Odaily> BlackRock said in a report that the monetary market's expectations for multiple Federal Reserve rate cuts are too high, overlooking the risk of rising inflation. BlackRock stated: "We tend to expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates 4 to 5 times this year, each by 25 basis points, as priced by the market." BlackRock predicts that as upcoming tariffs push up inflation, global borrowing costs will be higher than before the pandemic. "We believe that the planned new wave of U.S. tariffs and responses from other countries reinforce the point that we will be in a world where interest rates and long-term bond yields remain higher than before the pandemic." Tariffs and loose fiscal policies in some parts of the world may drive up inflation. (Jin Shi)