Odaily星球日报讯 BitMEX 联合创始人 Arthur Hayes 在 X 平台发文称，投资者若想预测美联储何时重启宽松，应关注债券市场波动指标 MOVE 指数。当 MOVE 升高，融资买入美债或企业债的交易者将面临更高保证金要求，被迫平仓。他表示，一旦 MOVE 突破 140，美联储或将出手干预市场。

Odaily星球日报讯 BitMEX 联合创始人 Arthur Hayes 在 X 平台发文称，投资者若想预测美联储何时重启宽松，应关注债券市场波动指标 MOVE 指数。当 MOVE 升高，融资买入美债或企业债的交易者将面临更高保证金要求，被迫平仓。他表示，一旦 MOVE 突破 140，美联储或将出手干预市场。

Arthur Hayes：若MOVE指数突破140，美联储或将重启放水

<Odaily> Planet Daily News: BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes posted on X platform that investors who want to predict when the Federal Reserve will restart easing should pay attention to the bond market volatility indicator MOVE index. When MOVE rises, traders financing the purchase of U.S. Treasuries or corporate bonds will face higher margin requirements and be forced to close their positions. He stated that once MOVE breaks through 140, the Federal Reserve may intervene in the market.

Arthur Hayes: If the MOVE index breaks through 140, the Fed may restart monetary easing

<BitMEX> co-founder Arthur Hayes stated that the era of U.S. Treasury bonds and U.S. stocks as global reserve assets is coming to an end, and gold will return as a neutral reserve asset. He pointed out that under the trend of de-dollarization, countries will hold gold for trade settlement instead of U.S. dollar assets. He suggested that investors should allocate their portfolios to gold, gold mining stocks, and Bitcoin (BTC). Hayes predicted that the yuan-to-dollar exchange rate will rise to 10, which could become a key catalyst for Bitcoin to reach $1 million.

Arthur Hayes: The era of de-dollarization is coming, and gold and Bitcoin will rise

Asset Collapse Across the Board: Global Markets Plunge into Chaos
Global financial markets are experiencing their darkest moment, with a storm triggered by U.S. President Donald Trump's new tariff policies sweeping across major asset classes. On Monday's opening, U.S. stock futures looked bleak, with S&P 500 futures dropping 3.2%, Nasdaq 100 futures plummeting 5.7%, and the panic index VIX futures surging 34.4% to 45.8, reaching its highest level since 2022. Risk-averse sentiment pushed up 10-year U.S. Treasury bond prices, with the Japanese yen appreciating 1.3% against the dollar, while spot gold fell to $2,988.61 per ounce.
Last Thursday, ...

The darkest moment of the market: Global assets plummeted simultaneously, and the total market value of cryptocurrencies fell by 10%. When will the dawn come?

From Vitalik's Horoscope: ETH's Macro Trend in the Past Five Years

To conclude, from 2025 to 2027 (Fire and Earth phase), it will be in a state of wealth value oscillation and contraction, while from 2028 to 2030 (Metal and Earth phase), there will be three consecutive years of violent bull market.

Ethereum and Vitalik's Horoscope
Vitalik's financial fortune largely represents ETH's price trend. From historical price retracements, both Vitalik's and ETH's horoscopes favor the Earth and Metal elements, and the Earth is only fond of specific moist Earth. In years when Metal was relatively strong historically: 2016 (Bing Shen year), 2017 (Ding You year), 2020 (Geng Zi year), 2021 (Xin Chou year); in years of historical moist Earth...