Ethereum is in a "midlife crisis", data dimension analysis of development performance

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ODAILY
03-27
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Original | Odaily (@OdailyChina

Author | Wenser (@wenser 2010

Undoubtedly, the Ethereum ecosystem, which just passed its tenth anniversary, is now facing a "mid-life crisis".

On one hand, co-founder Vitalik's ongoing Ethereum Foundation reform has not yet been concluded; on the other hand, ETH has been experiencing setbacks in multiple aspects such as technical routes, ecosystem development, and price performance. A series of issues, including sell-offs from ancient whales, net outflows from ETH spot ETF, and increasingly rigid ETH deflationary mechanisms, are troubling this once "king of Altcoins" massive ecosystem.

When the decentralization vision and market price performance are difficult to reconcile, perhaps we need to find answers from various data performances in the Ethereum ecosystem.

Ethereum Falls into Difficulties

Ethereum's Daily Burn Amount Hits Historic Low

On March 22, the Ethereum network burned only 53.07 ETH in a single day, valued at approximately $106,000; on March 23, the network burned only 50.03 ETH, continuing to set a historic low.

[The rest of the translation follows the same professional and precise approach, maintaining the original structure and meaning while translating into English.]

Nevertheless, the traditional financial market still holds extremely high expectations for the ETH ecosystem and has placed significant bets.

BlackRock's BUIDL Fund Deploys in RWA Track: Over $1 Billion Funds on Ethereum Chain

According to Token Terminal data on March 23, BlackRock's BUIDL fund has deployed over $1 billion on the Ethereum chain, reaching approximately $1.145 billion. The BUIDL fund focuses on tokenized real-world assets (RWA) and makes diversified investments on chains such as Avalanche, Polygon, Aptos, Arbitrum, and Optimism, with Ethereum remaining its core allocation.

Additionally, according to Nansen's analysis, since March 12, 2024, the number of addresses holding 1,000-10,000 ETH has grown by 5.65%, while addresses holding 10,000-100,000 ETH have increased by 28.73%. In other words, ETH whales continue to accumulate, and their belief in Ethereum remains unshakable.

From an outsider's perspective, this is both ETH's fortune and misfortune—fortunate because diamond hands are an indispensable part of maintaining price stability and ecosystem development; unfortunate because vested interest groups are often unable and unwilling to promote disruptive innovation, as this involves their own interests—as the ancient saying goes, touching someone's cake is like killing their parents, and the crypto world is no exception.

Conclusion: ETH Has Retreated to 2021 Stage, Needs a New Revolutionary Wave

After experiencing the GameFi, NFT, and MEME coin waves since 2021, from 2024, ETH has gradually retreated to the stage before 2021. On one hand, embracing L2 technology routes has further dispersed liquidity, solving the ETH mainnet gas problem, but creating issues of no usage and no desire to use; on the other hand, various tracks have been progressively disproven, not just in the ETH ecosystem, but including BTC and all cryptocurrencies gradually becoming "Americanized" and becoming appendages of the US economy.

The next step will either be a self-revolution within the Ethereum community or a price revolution from the BTC and SOL ecosystems.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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