Odaily星球日报讯 Matrixport 发布今日图表称，如果市场真认为美联储会维持当前利率不变，同时流动性依然紧缩，那么黄金就不会上涨。然而，即便通胀仍处于可控范围，市场对避险资产的需求依然强劲。虽然比特币近期处于盘整阶段，但这一趋势仍可能为其提供支撑。 我们始终看好黄金和比特币这两类资产，并在黄金首次突破每盎司 2,000 美元时发布了看涨报告。自那以来，黄金价格已飙升逾 50%，即便美国通胀上升，整体通胀率回升至 2.9%。不过，我们认为通胀可能已进入回落通道，Truflation 数据显示其水平更接近 2.0%而非 3.0%。如果这一趋势延续，则黄金和比特币都将看涨。

Odaily星球日报讯 Matrixport 发布今日图表称，如果市场真认为美联储会维持当前利率不变，同时流动性依然紧缩，那么黄金就不会上涨。然而，即便通胀仍处于可控范围，市场对避险资产的需求依然强劲。虽然比特币近期处于盘整阶段，但这一趋势仍可能为其提供支撑。我们始终看好黄金和比特币这两类资产，并在黄金首次突破每盎司 2,000 美元时发布了看涨报告。自那以来，黄金价格已飙升逾 50%，即便美国通胀上升，整体通胀率回升至 2.9%。不过，我们认为通胀可能已进入回落通道，Truflation 数据显示其水平更接近 2.0%而非 3.0%。如果这一趋势延续，则黄金和比特币都将看涨。

Matrixport：如果通胀数据显示其更接近2.0%，则黄金和比特币都将看涨

Odaily reports that Matrixport released a chart today, stating that if the market truly believes the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate and liquidity remains tight, then gold will not rise. However, even though inflation remains under control, the market's demand for safe-haven assets remains strong. While Bitcoin has been in a consolidation phase recently, this trend may still provide support for it. We remain bullish on gold and Bitcoin, and issued a bullish report on gold when it first broke through $2,000 per ounce. Since then, gold prices have soared over 50%, even as US inflation has risen, with the overall inflation rate rebounding to 2.9%. However, we believe inflation may have entered a downward channel, with Truflation data showing levels closer to 2.0% than 3.0%. If this trend continues, both gold and Bitcoin are likely to see an uptrend.

Odaily reports that Matrixport released a chart today, stating that if the market truly believes the Fed will maintain the current interest rate and liquidity remains tight, then gold will not rise. However, even though inflation is still under control, the market's demand for safe-haven assets remains strong. While Bitcoin has been in a consolidation phase recently, this trend may still provide support for it. We remain bullish on gold and Bitcoin, and issued a bullish report on gold when it first broke through $2,000 per ounce. Since then, gold prices have soared over 50%, even as US inflation has risen, with the overall inflation rate rebounding to 2.9%. However, we believe inflation may have entered a downward channel, with Truflation data showing levels closer to 2.0% than 3.0%. If this trend continues, both gold and Bitcoin will see an uptrend.

Matrixport: If inflation data shows it is closer to 2.0%, both gold and Bitcoin will be bullish

The recent period has seen Bitcoin and gold seemingly enter a delicate "dance" with each other: both are seeking their own positioning in the context of global economic turmoil and loose monetary policy, despite their vastly different market characteristics, they have exhibited a surprising degree of similarity to a certain extent. Especially against the backdrop of gold prices breaking historical highs, many market participants have begun to speculate whether Bitcoin will follow in the footsteps of gold in the short term and reshape its own price trend.
This article will conduct an in-depth analysis of the connection between Bitcoin and gold, and explore their short-term fluctuations and potential future trends.
Gold prices hit a historic high, Bitcoin sees a short-term correction...

Gold hits a new high of $2,942/ounce. Will Bitcoin follow? A historic breakthrough may come in the next two weeks!

Odaily reports that Markus Thielen of 10x Research says most market participants expect the inflation rate reported by the US Bureau of Statistics on February 12 to rise 2.9% year-on-year. However, he says the US Truflation inflation index (real-time inflation tracking metric) has fallen from 3.0% to 2.1%, indicating that "inflationary pressures may ease faster than expected." He said: "If CPI unexpectedly declines to 2.7% or 2.8%, Bitcoin may see a rebound." If the Bitcoin price rises another $10,000, it will reach $105,491, only 3.5% lower than the record high of $109,000 set on the eve of Trump's inauguration on January 20. (Cointelegraph)

10x Research: Declining inflation may trigger a new round of BTC rebound

Odaily reports that Bitfinex has released a report stating that the price of BTC has been stagnant in the range of $91,000 to $102,000, entering a consolidation phase that has lasted over 75 days. However, this prolonged range fluctuation reflects the increasing maturity of BTC as an asset, with its annualized actual volatility reaching a historical low. Nevertheless, BTC remains sensitive to macroeconomic developments, particularly when Trump announced tariffs on Mexico and Canada, leading to a significant price drop. Recent trends indicate that BTC is increasingly viewed as a risk asset rather than a pure store of value. Its correlation with the S&P 500 index remains strong, while its correlation with gold has weakened. Bitfinex expects the BTC range fluctuation to continue in the near term and may face downward pressure if macroeconomic conditions deteriorate. However, despite the continued rise of gold and the changing sentiment of institutions towards BTC, the narrative of BTC as a store of value remains intact in the long run.