Odaily星球日报讯 据 CME“美联储观察”，美联储 3 月维持利率不变的概率为 83.5%（公布前为 83.5%），降息 25 个基点的概率为 16.5%。到 5 月维持当前利率不变的概率为 60.2%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 35.2%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 4.6%。（金十）

Odaily星球日报讯 据 CME“美联储观察”，美联储 3 月维持利率不变的概率为 83.5%（公布前为 83.5%），降息 25 个基点的概率为 16.5%。到 5 月维持当前利率不变的概率为 60.2%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 35.2%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 4.6%。（金十）

ADP公布后美联储3月维持利率不变的概率无变化

Odaily reports that according to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 83.5% (83.5% before the announcement), and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 16.5%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by May is 60.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 35.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 4.6%. (Gold Ten)

Odaily Odaily reports that according to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 83.5% (83.5% before the announcement), and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 16.5%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by May is 60.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 35.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 4.6%. (Gold Ten)

The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March remains unchanged after the ADP release

Odaily Odaily News reports that Federal Reserve official Bostic said that the nominal neutral rate is expected to be 3%-3.5%, and the time it takes to reach the neutral rate depends on the state of the economy. They are prepared to remain on hold for some time and then proceed with rate cuts. The current uncertainty is increasing, and they hope to remain cautious and avoid having to adjust policy in one direction after it has already tilted in that direction.

Federal Reserve official Bostic: Expect nominal neutral interest rate to be between 3% and 3.5%

Odaily reported that the market generally expects that Trump's tariff policy will push up inflation and increase the difficulty for the Federal Reserve to continue controlling inflation. Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice this year, while Morgan Stanley has joined Barclays and Macquarie Bank in predicting that the Federal Reserve will only make a 25 basis point rate cut this year, citing the uncertainty caused by US President Trump's tariff policy. The Federal Reserve also kept its benchmark overnight interest rate in the range of 4.25%-4.50% at its policy meeting in January, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that further reductions in borrowing costs now depend on the Federal Reserve's ability to make further progress in lowering stubborn high inflation. (Gold Ten)

Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo expect Fed to cut rates twice this year

Singapore, January 29, 2025 - Bitunix has become one of the top 20 most secure exchanges in the world. The ranking, provided by respected crypto aggregators and media platforms Cointelegraph and Coingecko, highlights the world’s fastest-growing crypto exchage for their commitment to security and reliability.
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