QCP: Bitcoin is unlikely to rise significantly before the "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve" plan is confirmed

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MarsBit
01-27
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Here is the English translation, with 'BTC' retained as is: On January 27, QCP released its daily market observation, stating that one week after President Trump took office, BTC fell back below $100,000, and other risky assets also declined. Meanwhile, news about China's "Deepseek" has been continuously fermented since the weekend. This large language model (LLM) developed in China, with its high cost-effectiveness and breakthrough open-source technology, poses a potential threat to the United States' dominance in the field of artificial intelligence and may also impact the US stock market. As for BTC, it is not believed that its price will rise significantly before the "Strategic BTC Reserve" plan is confirmed. The evaluation plan for the "National Digital Asset Reserve" proposed by the Trump administration is not sufficient to support the market's bullish sentiment in the short term. From the perspective of risk reversal, call options only have the advantage from March, indicating that the market does not expect much substantial progress before the end of this quarter. However, with the threat of China's "Deepseek" to the US market, the possibility of Trump trying to intervene and play the "hero" cannot be ruled out. The volatility and VIX index remained high this Friday, and the market remained highly cautious before the FOMC meeting on Thursday, January 30. Although the market experienced volatility today, regardless of the outcome of Thursday's meeting, BTC should be able to maintain relative resilience and continue to fluctuate within its familiar range.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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