Odaily星球日报讯 预测市场 Polymarket 平台预测当选总统特朗普在其上任的头 100 天内批准战略比特币储备的概率短线拉升 14 个百分点，从 30%升至 44%，目前该事件押注金额已突破 360 万美元。

Odaily星球日报讯 预测市场 Polymarket 平台预测当选总统特朗普在其上任的头 100 天内批准战略比特币储备的概率短线拉升 14 个百分点，从 30%升至 44%，目前该事件押注金额已突破 360 万美元。

特朗普上任100天内批准比特币战略储备概率迅速拉升14个百分点

Odaily Odaily reports that the prediction market Polymarket platform's prediction of the probability that President-elect Trump will approve a strategic Bitcoin reserve within the first 100 days of his term has spiked 14 percentage points in the short term, from 30% to 44%, and the current betting amount for this event has exceeded $3.6 million.

Odaily reports that the prediction market platform Polymarket has seen a 14 percentage point increase in the short-term probability of President-elect Trump approving a strategic Bitcoin reserve within the first 100 days of his term, rising from 30% to 44%. The current betting amount for this event has exceeded $3.6 million.

The probability of Trump approving a Bitcoin strategic reserve within 100 days of taking office has risen by 14 percentage points

Odaily Odaily report: Before the inauguration of Trump, cryptocurrencies soared due to bullish expectations, and the market expected the new president to issue supportive reforms within a few days. When Trump entered the White House on Monday, <Bitcoin> surged to a historic high of $109,000, and investors cheered excitedly, eagerly awaiting a new pro-cryptocurrency policy statement. However, this frenzy did not last. Since January 20, <Bitcoin> and other cryptocurrencies have been declining. On Wednesday, this token fell another 2%, trading at around $104,172. Analysts believe that the longer US President Trump delays the announcement of specific cryptocurrency policies, the higher the risk of painful sell-offs for investors. Standard Chartered Bank said the weakening of market momentum and the possibility of deeper corrections reflect an increasing sense of disappointment at the lack of new policy announcements. Geoff Kendrick, Standard Chartered Bank's global digital asset research head, said on Wednesday that "when hope is dashed, digital asset prices will fall 10-20%, and hope is not a strategy. It can last for a few days, but not for a few weeks." (Businessinsider)

Standard Chartered: If Trump does not provide a catalyst to restart crypto market growth, sell-off risks will rise

Odaily Odaily News reports that Deutsche Bank analyst Marion Labrune said in a report that given the more favorable regulatory and political environment that Trump will implement, Bitcoin is likely to maintain a relatively high level. She said: "Although Trump did not sign an executive order on digital assets on the first day, the announcement on Tuesday that the US Securities and Exchange Commission will develop a regulatory framework for crypto assets is the first step in his government's comprehensive reform of crypto currency regulation." She said Bitcoin will also benefit from the Federal Reserve's loose monetary policy and may see an increase in institutional investors. (Jinshi)

Analyst: Bitcoin could remain high if Trump provides favorable regulatory environment

Here is the English translation:

Polymarket outperformed many traditional forecasting methods in last year's US election, successfully predicting that Trump would be elected President of the United States. This time, Trump's every word and action at the Presidential Inauguration ceremony have also become the focus of social media. After statistical analysis, it can be found that Polymarket's prediction of Trump's speech content had a success rate as high as 74%. On the other hand, although many in the cryptocurrency community believed that Trump would mention Bitcoin or even his meme coin, just like the US election, cryptocurrency was not a major issue.

<Table of Contents>
<Toggle...>

Polymarket has achieved great success again! The White House Inauguration Prediction Accuracy Is as High as 74%, Successfully Predicting Trump Will Not Mention His Own Meme Coin