Tonight, the US stock market will open normally, and MSTR will officially be included in the NASDAQ 100. Tomorrow night, which is the US Eastern Time on the 24th, the US stock market will close early. The market sentiment before the holiday is very important. It will directly affect the market sentiment during the Christmas period. Of course, there are expectations for January next year, and the problem is not big. The trend is still there. Remember, the trend is still there, even if BTC goes down temporarily during the holiday, it will recover.
As for Altcoins, the pullback is indeed severe. If you want to go up, it may have to start in January next year. And the targets need to be good ones. I still want to tell my friends. Investing is a "language question", not a "math question", you don't have to leave at a certain position. How could that be possible, right? You need to focus on the trend. The simplest thing is, wait for the continued good market, and then start to vigorously launch a new mining VC coin for a month, you need to understand that the trend is gradually going downhill. The friends who have experienced it all know, that's all I can say. Also, BTC's surge in the US time zone is the real good news.
Christmas is just around the corner, Christmas / Christmas Crash?
Some say "There is a crash before Christmas every time", and some say "There will be a surge after Christmas", who is right - just look at the historical data
In the past five years, the performance of the BTC and Nasdaq index during the Christmas holiday period from 12.20-01.06, as well as the rebound situation in the following one month / two months;
Should we buy the dips or cut our losses?
BTC's performance during the holiday in the past five years
During the period of 12.20-01.06, the volatility of BTC is obviously larger, but the actual gains and losses, except for 2020 being particularly drastic, are within 10% in other years
And 80% of the years have had quite good coin price performance in the following two months, and if the buy the dips time is narrowed down to the first week after the New Year, the probability of profit is still 60%
Performance of the Nasdaq index in the past five years:
To take into account the impact of the BTC ETF on the overall market, the overall situation of the US stock market is also counted. The fluctuation during the Christmas holiday period is still not small, but the overall gains and losses are not large, you can just ignore the fluctuation
An interesting data: if you buy the dips on the Friday before the New Year, you can basically get a good increase the following week. Therefore, it can be inferred that the US stock market will not have a significant negative impact on BTC after the holiday
Although this bull market is greatly affected by the inflow and outflow of BTC ETF, the Nasdaq index did not show a significant decline during the Christmas period or after, and the impact on the crypto is not great
The performance of BTC itself is also contrary to the conjecture of the "Christmas Crash", so don't worry~ "Christmas Crash" is not scary, "short-term operation + chasing the trend and selling the dips" is the original sin.
Spot trading strategy
Batch entry, flexibly respond to market fluctuations
For spot trading, it is recommended to start building positions gradually from the current price. If $92,000 cannot be held, you can appropriately increase your position and prepare to further increase your position at $85,000 or even lower. There is a lot of uncertainty in the market, and investors need to maintain a flexible operation strategy, neither want to achieve it in one step and bottom fish at the lowest point, nor to buy at the middle of the mountain with a large amount, the current price range is a good area to buy.
Bottom fishing strategy: select strong coins
In the current market adjustment process, in addition to Bitcoin, there are also some other Altcoins that have experienced a relatively large decline. But we also need to choose some relatively strong coins, the leading coins have more advantages, and there are often multiple leaders in the same track, such as Doge and SHIB. The focus is on the track. The ones that have been enduring are public chains and MEME, but there are also new hot tracks such as AI, Depin, and RWA. The logic is the same, whether they can join the ranks of the excellent and mainstream Altcoins in the next cycle, you can keep an eye on them.
The targets that I am currently optimistic about, you can refer to: UNI, APT, AAVE, ONDO, MKR, PEPE, HBAR, PNUT
Therefore, investors can make batch entries in these coins after a certain decline, in order to obtain a better cost performance
The bull market can basically be confirmed to have started, and with the relaxation of policies, there will be many opportunities waiting for us to layout, the group will recommend wealth codes from time to time, let's work together to grasp the upcoming bull market! Let's realize the goals and dreams in the crypto together!
Group content:
Mainly spot trading, there will be explanations of the overall market trend, layout of potential coins in advance, following the changes of the market cycle, recommendations of Altcoins with opportunities, mainly spot trading
We will choose more strong coins, try to get a few targets that can achieve a small bet for a big win, the market is surging again, we definitely need coins with strong wealth effect to ignite the new bull market, grab one and make a big profit, grab a few and make a killing
Reasonable control of position size, mainstream as the bottom, Altcoins for appreciation
